名豪棋牌

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                                                                  抚州楼市优惠活动开盘预告看房日记工程进度地产招聘成交信息土地信息规划公示楼市行情全国快讯

                                                                  机构看市|疫情过后,房地产有望涌现“抢收潮”!

                                                                  2019-02-17 11:25:37  来源:中房网  点击()  我要评论(0)
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                                                                  名豪棋牌 SHOUXINGUANFEIYANYIQINGDEYINGXIANG,YIJIDUFANGDICHANSHICHANGZHUANLIANGLIAOYICHENGDINGJU。DAJIADUICICIYIQINGDAIJIFANGDICHANSHICHANGDEYINGXIANGYIJIHOUXUXINGYEFAZHANQINGKUANGPOWEIGUANZHU。DUICI,ZHONGFANGWANG(www.fangchan.com)TONGGUODUIXIANGGUANQUANSHANGHEJIGOUYANJIUBAOGAOSHULI,DUIBAOGAOYIJIANJINXINGHUIZONG,ZONGJIEXINGCHENGYIXIAGUANDIAN,GONGXINGYEHESHEHUIGEJIECANKAO。

                                                                    对比2003年,新冠疫情对行业的短期冲击或更大

                                                                  名豪棋牌   BENCIXINGUANYIQINGDEBAOFA,RANGWOMENBUJINXIANGQILE2003NIAN“FEIDIAN”YIQING。SUIRANBUNENGZHIJIEJIANDANLEIBI,DANLISHISHUJUKEYIZUOWEIYIGEZHONGYAODECANKAO。SHOU“FEIDIAN”YIQINGYINGXIANG,2003NIANERJIDUWOGUOGDPCHUXIANMINGXIANFANGHUAN,DANJINYINGXIANGYIGEJIDUHOUJIUCHUXIANLEKUAISUXIUFU,YIQINGZHUYAOCHONGJILEXIAOFEILEIXINGYE,DANDUIYUDANGSHIFANGDICHANTOUZIJILIANGJIADEYINGXIANGXIANGDUIJIAOXIAO。HUIGULISHISHUJUFAXIAN,FANGDICHANTOUZIHEXIAOSHOUMIANJIJINZAIDANGNIAN3YUEHE4YUECHUXIANLEYIDINGFUDUZENGSUGAOWEIFANGHUAN,DAN5YUEJIUSHIXIANLEXIUFU。BUGUOJIANYUDANGSHIFANGDICHANCHUYUXINGYEGAOSUFAZHANCHUQI、SHOUCIBEIQUELIWEIZHIZHUXINGYE、LIUDONGXINGZONGTIPIANYUKUANSONGDENGLIHAOHUANJING,KENENGSHI2003NIANFANGDICHANJIBENMIANBAOCHIWENDINGDEGUANJIAN。

                                                                    图1:SARS期间中国GDP及房地产业GDP变动/%

                                                                  1

                                                                    图2:2003年月度销售面积及同比(万平方米)

                                                                  1

                                                                    ERMUQIAN,FANGDICHANCHUYUZONGLIANGXUQIUDINGBUQUYUJIEDUAN、XINGYECHIXUCHENGWEIZHENGCEYANKONGDUIXIANG,XINGYEZONGTIHUANJINGYIBURU2003NIAN,2019NIANQUANGUOSHANGPINFANGXIAOSHOUMIANJIYICHUXIANDIAOZHENGSHITOU。YINER,JIGOUBAOGAOYUJI,ZAIDANGQIXINGYEBEIJINGXIA,BENCIXINGUANFEIYANYIQINGDUIDUANQINEIFANGDICHANSHICHANGDEYINGXIANGHUOJIAOWEIXIANZHU,FUMIANYINGXIANGKENENGYAODAYU2003NIAN。

                                                                    ZHONGGUOYINHEZHENGQUANZHICHU,SUIRANMUQIANHONGGUANJINGJIHEXINGYEDETILIANGSHUBEISHENZHISHUSHIBEIYU2003NIAN,TILIANGDEKUODAYOULIYUDIYUYIQINGDECHONGJI,DANSHIDANGQIANHONGGUANJINGJIXIAXINGYALIJIAODA、XIAOFEICHENGWEILADONGJINGJIDEZHUYAODONGLI、FANGDICHANXINGYECHUYUXIAXINGZHOUQIYIJISUOCHUDEDIAOKONGZHENGCEHUANJING,SHIXINGUANYIQINGDUIJINGJIHEXINGYEDEDUANQICHONGJIGENGDA。

                                                                    KEERRUIZHENGQUANYERENWEI,XINGUANYIQINGDUIYU2020NIANFANGDICHANXIAOSHOUDEFUMIANYINGXIANGJIANGDAGUO2003NIAN“FEIDIAN”QIJIAN。2019NIANQ1、Q2、Q3、Q4DEGDPZENGSUFENBIEWEI6.4%、6.2%、6.0%、6.0%,QUANNIANGDPZENGSU6.1%,JINGJIMIANCHIXUCHENGYA,XIAXINGYALIDA。YUCITONGSHI,XINGYEXIAOSHOUZENGSUXIAHUA,XINGUANYIQINGHUOTUOLEIYIJIDUSHENZHISHANGBANNIANXIAOSHOUYEJI,XINKAIGONGJIJUNGONGZENGSULIAOJIANGDIKAI。

                                                                    HUACHUANGZHENGQUANCHENG,MUQIANXINGYEZONGTIHUANJINGBURU2003NIAN,YINERYUJI2020NIANXINGUANFEIYANYIQINGDUIFANGDICHANXINGYEDEFUMIANYINGXIANGKENENGYAODAYU2003NIAN。YUANBENWOGUOMUQIANJINGJIHECAIZHENGYALIJIADA,ERBENCIYIQINGJIANGJINYIBUJIAJUJINGJIXIAXINGYALI,BINGJIANGDAPOJIANGUKONGDICHANHEWENJINGJIDERUOPINGHENG。

                                                                    ZAIDIYITAIPINGDAIWEISIKANLAI,2020NIANSHOUYIQINGYINGXIANGDESUNSHIXUYAOYIDUANSHIJIANLAIMIBU。YINCI,JINNIANYIJIDUNAIZHISHANGBANNIANDESHANGPINZHUZHAICHENGJIAOSHUJUKENENGHUITONGBIYOUSUOXIAJIANG。JIBIANXIABANNIANSHICHANGYOUYIDINGFANDAN,YEBUHUIXIANG2003NIANNEIYANGWANGSHENG。

                                                                    疫情导致楼市需求延后,但中长期稳定趋势不改

                                                                    SHOUYIQINGYINGXIANG,ZHONGGUOFANGDICHANYEXIEHUIZAI1YUE26RICHANGYIFANGQIZANTINGSHOULOUHUODONG,DAIYIQINGGUOHOUZAIXINGHUIFU。JUBUWANQUANTONGJI,QUANGUOYOU60DUOGECHENGSHIZANTINGXIANXIAXIAOSHOUHUODONG,ZHIJIEDAOZHICHUNJIEZHANGJIAQIJIANDEXIAOSHOUMIANJIJIAOWANGNIANDAFUXIAHUA。

                                                                  名豪棋牌   SHUJUXIANSHI,2020NIANCHUNJIEQIJIAN,QUANGUO30DAZHONGCHENGSHISHANGPINFANGCHENGJIAOMIANJIWEI2.7WANPINGFANGMI,JIAO2019NIANDE19.55WANPINGFANGMIXIAHUA86.19%,JIAOJIN7NIANDEPINGJUNZHI9.91WANPINGFANGMIYEXIAJIANGJIAODUO。YUJIYIQINGDUIFANGDICHANXINGYEYIJIDUDEXIAOSHOUYINGXIANGJIAODA,WANGNIANDELOUSHI“XIAOYANGCHUN”NANYIANSHICHUXIAN。

                                                                    CONGQUANNIANLAIKAN,YIQINGDEZHIJIEYINGXIANGZHUYAOSHIDAOZHIXUQIUYANHOU。MEINIANDE1-2YUESHIFANGDICHANCHUANTONGDEXIAOSHOUDANJI,CONGLISHISHANGKAN,XIAOSHOUZHANBIYIBANSHICONGYIJIDUDAOSIJIDUZHUJIANTISHENG,ZUIGAODESHISIJIDU。RUOYIQINGZAIYIJIDUKEYIDEDAOJIAOHAODEFANGKONG,YUJISHOUJIYADEXUQIUHUIZAIERJIDUSHIFANG,HOUXUDAIDONGSHICHANGHUISHENG,ZHONGZHANGQIWENDINGQUSHIRENGJIANGBAOCHI。

                                                                    图3:1-2月及一季度销售面积占全年比重

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                                                                    图4:2013-2019每季度销售面积(万㎡)

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                                                                    DONGFANGZHENGQUANFENXI,RUOYIQINGYINGXIANGKONGZHIZAIDIYIJIDU,NEIMEDUISHICHANGZHENGTIDECHONGJIBUDA。CONGLISHISHUJULAIKAN,YIJIDUDEXIAOLIANGZHIZHANQUANNIANDE1/6ZUOYOU,SHENZHI1-2YUEFENXIAOLIANGJINZHANQUANNIANDE8%ZUOYOU。SUIRANFANGQIZAINIANHOUKAISHIJIAQIANGTUIPANJIEZOU,WANGWANGCHUXIAN“XIAOYANGCHUN”XINGQING,DANSHI3YUEDEXIAOLIANGYIRANYUANDIYU6YUE、9YUEYIJI12YUE。YOUYUBENCIYIQINGZHIJIEYINGXIANG1-2YUEDEXIAOSHOU,JIANJIEYINGXIANG3YUEDEXIAOSHOU,ZONGTILAISHUO,YIQINGDUIFANGDICHANXINGYEDUANQIHUIYOUYIDINGDEYINGXIANG,DANZHANGQIYINGXIANGYOUXIAN。

                                                                    GUOXINZHENGQUANZHICHU,YIQINGFASHENGYILAI,DUOSHENGXIANHOUQIDONGZHONGDATUFAGONGGONGWEISHENGSHIJIANYIJIXIANGYING,MUQIANGUOJIAJIGESHENGDUIYIQINGYANMIFANGKONG,GELISHOUDUANFEICHANGYANGE,CONGXINZENGYISIBINGLIJIZHIYUBINGLILAIKAN,YIQINGYIDEDAOCHUBUKONGZHI,XIANGXINSUIZHECHUNNUANHUAKAI、QIWENSHANGSHENGYIJIGUOJIAYOULIDEFANGKONG,DAGAILVNENGZAIJIAODUANSHIJIANNEIZHANSHENGYIQING。YIQINGGUOHOU,YOUWANGYONGXIANFANGDICHANXINGYEDE“GANGONGCHAO”、“QIANGSHOUCHAO”。

                                                                  名豪棋牌   HUATAIZHENGQUANRENWEI,BENCIYIQINGBAOFAYU1-2YUECHUANTONGDANJI,DICHANXUQIUZHIHUIYANHOUBUHUIXIAOSHI,DUANQIYOUYINGXIANGDANQUANNIANYINGXIANGYOUXIAN。CICIYIQINGJUQUANGUOZHILIFANGKONG,XUQIUWEILAIYOUWANGSUIZHEYIQINGGAISHANZHUBUHUIGUI。

                                                                  名豪棋牌   ZHONGXINZHENGQUANYEBIAOSHI,SUIRANGECHENGSHOULOUCHULINSHIGUANBI,DANGEDAFANGQIXUKEREDUBUJIAN。DIFANGJIJIZUOWEI,LIAOTUDICHURANGZHILIANGJIANGTIGAO、DINGJIALIXING。YUJIJIEHOUSHEHUIZIJINCHENGBENHUOYOUXIAXING,SHUJIEQIYEYALIJIGOUFANGZHEFUDAN。

                                                                    疫情过后,政策弹性或超预期

                                                                  名豪棋牌   JINGUANDANGQIANYIQINGRENGJIAOWEIYANJUN,DAN“WENFANGJIA、WENDIJIA、WENYUQI“DEDIAOKONGMUBIAOBUHUIBIAN。YIQINGCHONGJIXIA,DUOXIANGFANGDICHANXUQIUSHUJUTONGBIXIAJIANG,DANGEXIANGJIJIYINSUYEZHENGZHUBUZENGDUO。CAIZHENGZHENGCEHEHUOBIZHENGCEYIJINGZAIDUOGELINGYUCAIQUCUOSHIZHICHISHITIJINGJIFAZHAN,RUYANGXINGZAIJIEHOUKAIZHAN1.7WANYINIHUIGOUCAOZUOTOUFANGLIUDONGXING,TONGSHIYANGXINGBIAOSHIXIACIMLFLILVHELPRJIANGJIAODAGAILVXIAXING,JIANGUANCENGDUILIUDONGXINGDEZHICHIKEJIANYIBAN。

                                                                    ERQIE“YINCHENGSHICE”ZUOWEIJINNIANLAIGEDIFANGDICHANDIAOKONGDEZHUYAOFANGSHI,ZAIYIQINGZHIHOU,YIXIEDIFANGKENENGHUIZAI“YINCHENGSHICE”DEDABEIJINGXIA,GENJUDANGDILOUSHIZHUANGKUANGSHISHI“YICHENGYICE”,JIYUBUTONGCHENGDUDELINGHUOZHENGCEZHICHI。

                                                                    TIANFENGZHENGQUANBIAOSHI,ZAIHONGGUANJINGJISHOUYINGXIANGMINGXIANDEQINGKUANGXIA,YIQINGJIESHUHOUZHONGYANGHONGGUAN、CAIZHENGZHENGCEYOUWANGCHAOYUQIFALI,DUIYUFANGQIERYANRENGRANYOUWANGCONGZHONGSHOUYI,RUGUODUIYUDICHANXINGYEDEYIZHILIDUJINYIBUJIANGDIYEWEICHANGBUKEQIDAI。

                                                                    ZHONGGUOYINHEZHENGQUANZHICHU,YIQINGCHONGJISHIWOGUOJINGJIHEDICHANXINGYEWENTAIJUMIANBEIDAPO,YUJI2020NIANZHENGCEJIANGCHUXIANBIANJIGAISHAN,JINQIDEYANGXINGTOUFANG1.7WANYILIUDONGXING、LPRJIANGXIHEYINCHENGSHICEDEMIJISHISHISHIFANGCHUZHENGCETUODIHEGAISHANDEXINXI,HOUXUZHENGCEDEDANXINGYOUWANGKUODA。

                                                                  名豪棋牌   HAITONGZHENGQUANYUJI,YOUYUYIQINGDUIJINGJIXINGCHENGDUANQICHONGJI,WEILEWEIHUSHICHANGWENDING、DUICHONGDUANQICHONGJI,HUOBIZHENGCEYOUWANGCONG“LINGHUOSHIDU”ZHUANXIANG“SHIDUKUANSONG”。KAOLVDAODUANQITONGZHANGHAIZAIGAOWEI,YUJIYANGXINGHUOJIANGJIEDUANXINGXIAOFUJIANGXI,RUJIANGDI7TIANNIHUIGOUZHAOBIAOLILV、XIADIAOMLFLILV、DUIYIQINGYANZHONGDIQUDINGXIANGJIANGZHUNJIANGXIDENG,CONGERTUIDONGLPRXIAJIANG,JIANGDISHEHUIRONGZICHENGBEN。

                                                                    ZHONGJINGONGSIYERENWEI,YIJIDUXIAOSHOU、KAIGONG、NADIDENGZHIBIAOSHOUYIQINGYINGXIANGCHENGYA,DANERJIDUQIGEXIANGZHIBIAOYOUWANGZHUJIANXIUFU,ZAIYIQINGYINGXIANGZHUJIANJIANRUO、DICHANJIBENMIANHEHONGGUANJINGJIXIANGDUICHENGYA、DIJIAHEFANGJIABUCUNZAIKUAISUSHANGZHANGFENGXIANDEQINGKUANGXIA,ZHONGJINPANDUANZHENGCEMIANXIANGDUIYOUHAODECHUANGKOUQIKENENGLAZHANG,JINERTUOJUFANGDICHANSHICHANGPINGWENXIUFU,QIANQIBUFENBEIJIYADEGOUFANGXUQIUYEJIANGZAIWEIWENZHENGCEDEYINDAOXIAZHUJIANSHIFANG。

                                                                  名豪棋牌   ZONGTIERYAN,JIGOUPUBIANRENWEI,XINGUANYIQINGJIANGZHIJIEYINGXIANGYIJIDUYEJI,GOUFANGXUQIUDUANQIBEIYANCHI,DANZHONGZHANGQILAIKAN,XUQIUBINGWEIXIAOSHI,JUMINDEGOUMAILIYEBINGBUHUIYINYIQINGERCHANSHENGJIAODAYINGXIANG。YINCIQUANNIANXIAOSHOUWUXUGUODUBEIGUAN,XIANGXINSUIZHEYIQINGDEDAOZHUJIANKONGZHIHOU,FANGDICHANXINGYEJIANGCHENGXIANHUINUANTAISHI。

                                                                   

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